One last twist in the tale? Opta supercomputer reveals Man City and Arsenal's updated chances of winning the Premier League after champions' crucial win at Tottenham

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  • Manchester City beat Tottenham 2-0 to leapfrog Arsenal at the top of the league 
  • A supercomputer has issued the revised title chances of the two title contenders
  • Arsenal are the real deal regardless of what happens in the title race - Listen to the It's All Kicking Off! podcast 

Manchester City have a whopping 84 per cent chance of winning the Premier League title after their 2-0 win against Tottenham, according to a supercomputer.

City leapfrogged Arsenal to move top of the table with just one game left to play after their pulsating victory on Tuesday, courtesy of two goals from Erling Haaland.

Pep Guardiola's side survived a number of nervy moments in a tight showdown in North London, substitute goalkeeper Stefan Ortega delivering a heroic second-half cameo to leave City standing on the brink of yet another league triumph.

Haaland broke the deadlock after tapping home Kevin De Bruyne's cross six minutes after half-time before Spurs ramped up the pressure to set up a tense finish.

Ederson had been forced off after a heavy collision and his replacement crucially denied Son Heung-min one-on-one and Dejan Kulusevski twice, with Haaland then wrapping up the three points from the penalty spot in stoppage time.

Manchester City are the heavy favourites to win the Premier League title after beating Spurs

Manchester City are the heavy favourites to win the Premier League title after beating Spurs

Manchester City are the heavy favourites to win the Premier League title after beating Spurs

Arsenal trail City by two points ahead of the final day with their fate firmly out of their hands

Arsenal trail City by two points ahead of the final day with their fate firmly out of their hands

Ahead of the final day of the season, City are two points ahead of Arsenal and look on course to become the first club to win four successive Premier League titles.

This has also been reflected in the latest simulations from Opta's supercomputer.

The revised title chances have City at 84 per cent and as near certainties to lift the trophy once again at the weekend - with rivals Arsenal now at just 16 per cent. 

That represents a significant uptick on their 58 per cent chance after the weekend. Arsenal triumphed in just 41 per cent of the supercomputer's season simulations.

It appears, then, that the fate of the title race was decided in City's win at Spurs.

City moved two points clear and their chances of winning a fourth title are now 84 per cent

City moved two points clear and their chances of winning a fourth title are now 84 per cent

Pep Guardiola is on course for yet another trophy at City but rode out nervy moments at Spurs

Pep Guardiola is on course for yet another trophy at City but rode out nervy moments at Spurs

Mikel Arteta is set to end the campaign empty-handed despite Arsenal's lengthy title charge

Mikel Arteta is set to end the campaign empty-handed despite Arsenal's lengthy title charge

Had City lost, Arsenal's chances of lifting the trophy instead - their first league title since 2004 - were estimated at 81 per cent with City on only 19 per cent.

Even a City draw would likely have handed Arsenal the title. In that scenario, Mikel Arteta's side were 75 per cent favourites to end City's dominance over the top-flight. 

Guardiola credited City's looming triumph to Ortega's eye-catching resistance. 

'He saves us – otherwise Arsenal are champions,' he said. 'That is the reality.  

'The margins are so tight. The save from Son. It was incredible. One-on-one, Stefan is one of the best keepers I've seen in my life.' 

City will win the title should they beat West Ham at the Etihad on Sunday. 

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