Only the most optimistic could have imagined such a positive scenario for Real Madrid in the first leg of the Champions League round of 16 against Manchester City

Valverde's unexpected hat-trick helped Los Blancos take a giant step towards the quarter-finals of the tournament

A single match that served Arbeloa's side to turn the tables on the odds of winning the Champions League, going from having little chance to being in the top five favourites. All according to data from Opta's supercomputer

Despite having the tie in their favour with the 3-0 first leg win, they still have to certify this result at the Etihad Stadium. It will be tonight from 21:00. Pep Guardiola's Manchester City, with Erling Haaland as the main threat, will be looking to spoil the European night for Vinicius and company.

The chances of Real Madrid reaching the quarter-finals

This 3-0 is reflected in the statistics that Opta's supercomputer gives to the Spanish side. Their chances of progressing according to this are very high, at 83.80%, compared to the remaining 16.20% for the English side

If they go through, they will face Bayern Munich, who have a 99.86% chance of progressing after their 6-1 first leg win over Atalanta. In the other two matches of the day, Arsenal lead Bayer Leverkusen with a 79.89% chance of progressing and PSG against Chelsea with a 93.81% chance of progressing.